The Illusion of Control: Miscalculation and the Road to War with Iran
Introduction In a single press conference aboard Air Force One, President Trump advanced mutually contradictory claims. He asserted that the United States had brought peac...
Re-engineering the Red Sea:The Geopolitical Implications of the Israeli–Emirati Partnership
Introduction The Red Sea and the Horn of Africa are undergoing a profound transformation, driven by the gradual disintegration of the post–Cold War security architecture t...
Between Strategic Vacuum and Internal Fragility: The Future of Houthis After the Gaza War
Introduction The ceasefire agreement reached in the Gaza Strip in October 2025 marks a significant geopolitical turning point. For months, the Houthi movement had acted under the...
Does China Support Houthis' Military Capabilities in the Red Sea?
Introduction American accusations against China for allegedly supporting the Houthi movement have intensified in recent months. The most recent claims emerged in mid-April, when the U.S...
The Regional Rise of Houthis after Nasrallah's Assassination
Introduction: The Middle East is on the verge of a regional war escalation, with Israel ramping up its operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon and Iran retaliating against Israel followin...
Western Strategy in the Red Sea and Deterrence Options
Introduction:- The armed Houthi group has recently announced an expansion of its operations targeting ships, reaching to the Indian Ocean and the...
A Competition Puts Politics and International Security at Risk: Houthi-Iran Relationship with African Pirates
Introduction:- Since November, hundreds of cargo ships have been forced to divert over 4,000 miles around the African continent to avoid attack...
Iran's Strategy in the Red Sea: Goals and Tactics
Introduction:- Iranian decision-makers have openly expressed their interest in establishing a permanent presence in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden since October 7th. This interest...
Looming War in the Horn of Africa: Ethiopia's Quest for Access to the Red Sea
The reception of the New Year by Ethiopia and Somaliland, a breakaway region of Somalia, by signing a memorandum of understanding, granting Addis Ababa access ...
Israel's Militarization of Bab Al-Mandab
Introduction Israel has realized the importance of waterways quite early, and took steps to control a number of strategic ports either by direct occupation, or in coordination...
From Launching Economic Projects to Building Military Bases: Chinese Influence in the Horn of Africa
Summary In recent years there has been a remarkable Chinese presence in Africa in general, and in the Horn of Africa in particular, especially after establishing the Forum on China&n...
The Russian Role in the Yemeni Crisis: Incentives and Obstacles
عربي PDF Summary After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia undoubtedly lost a great deal of its geopolitical legacy. Yemen was an important axis of this legacy in the Arab Gulf region. Indeed,...
The Russian Return to the Horn of Africa Through the Gate of Eritrea
عربي PDF Summary After a decades-long absence, Russia appears again in Africa. This return has received much attention by the media, governments and civil ...
Regional and International Powers in Bab al-Mandab and the Gulf of Aden: Between Competition and Conflict
عربي PDF Summary This study deals with the strategic significance of Bab al-Mandab Strait and the Gulf of Aden. It explores the outcomes that arose from this and other factors, ...
The Role of Military Diplomacy in Promoting China's Foreign Policy in the Horn of Africa
عربي PDF Introduction This study attempts to define the contours of the Chinese approach of employing the tool of military diplomacy in China's foreign policy strategy. It also attempts to examine ...
Saudi-Iranian Consultations: Searching for a Balanced Regional Security System
عربي PDF Preliminary Since an Islamic Revolutionary government came to power in Iran in 1979, relations between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia a...
Will Yemen be a containment zone of the Saudi-Iranian conflict?
PDF عربي Introduction When the Houthi rebels took control of the Yemeni capital, Sana'a, in September 2014, Iranian officials stated that the fourth Arab capital fell under their control, the...
The Allies War in Shabwa between the Dream of Secession and the Lust for Gas
عربي PDF Introduction The Shabwa Defense Forces and the Giants Brigades, which are loyal to the UAE, took control of Shabwa governorate in eastern Yemen, and expell...
Reflection of US Withdrawal from Afghanistan on Yemen’s War
عربي PDF Preface: In a chaotic scene described as a historical defeat, the United States of America withdrew from Afghanistan on August 31, 2021 after 20 years of occupat...
Yemen’s Socotra ... War of Influence in the Indian Ocean
عربي PDF Introduction[1] Since the UAE has arrived on the governorate of Socotra Archipelago[2] in 2016, it put most of its efforts to control the strategic Yemeni island that...